(KMSP) - Unlike Saturday, today's severe weather seems to be a little more “classic” and straight forward. There were a few leftover showers and storms in the morning, but those have quickly diminished or pushed to the northeast.
Now we will get sunshine for the next few hours, building heat and instability that should lead to widespread storms late today, this evening and tonight. While some large hail and strong winds over 60mph are possible, I think the bigger issue will once again be the heavy rain.
Rainfall rates could top four inches an hour with the potential for one or two slow moving rounds of storms in the metro. This could quickly lead some areas to flood. That said, some of the strongest storms could contain some quarter to golf ball-sized hail and scattered wind gusts over 60mph.
While widespread severe weather is not expected at this point, our current atmospheric conditions support one IF everything falls into place.
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER: Southeastern third of MN including the entire metro area and all of western Wisconsin
TIMING: Scattered thunderstorm development in western and central MN between 2-5 p.m. Storms will then slowly slide east and southeast
LOCATION: Most of central & southern MN, as well as western Wisconsin
THREATS: Main threat will likely be flash flooding with threats of large hail and damaging winds
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING is still in effect until 7 p.m. Sunday night.