Political expert, pollsters weigh in on health insurance subsidies

On day seven of the government shutdown, one of the most contentious debates in Washington could have lasting consequences for millions of Americans: whether to renew expiring health insurance subsidies.

Shutdown healthcare subsidies

What we know:

The disagreement centers on subsidies that help people who don’t receive health insurance through their job or a government program.

Instead, these individuals purchase coverage through healthcare marketplaces.

"This gets at the very heart of a philosophical or political dispute between Democrats and Republicans in the United States and whether or not the government has a role in providing subsidies for healthcare," Hamline University David Schultz told FOX 9 on Tuesday.

Although Republican lawmakers have pushed to let the subsidies expire, millions of Americans, particularly in Republican-leaning states, stand to lose if Congress fails to act. 

The subsidies were a key part of the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) and were later expanded under President Biden. Without renewal, they expire this year.

According to the Congressional Budget Office, around 2 million more Americans could become uninsured as early as next year if the subsidies lapse.

"This could drag out for a long period of time," Schultz said. "We know the last government shutdown was 35 days. At this point I don’t see any forces bringing the two sides together. There seems to be very minimal negotiation. The Democrats and Republicans have staked out their position on a very, very important issue for them. Unless something dramatically changes, I don’t see this getting resolved very quickly."

What's next:

Schultz sees one possible off-ramp from the stalemate.

"What I do think might eventually be the way the impasse gets ended is there is some type of agreement to extend some of these subsidies for a limited period of time," Schultz said. "But I don’t think Democrats and Republicans are there yet."

Dig deeper:

Polling released this week by the Kaiser Family Foundation shows most Americans support extending the enhanced subsidies.

About three-quarters of adults surveyed said Congress should act, including nine in ten Democrats, eight in ten independents, and six in ten Republicans.

PoliticsDonald J. TrumpMinnesotaHealth Care