Despite snowy end, November 4th warmest ever

- We may have finished the month on a more wintry note, but November 2015 was one of the warmest ever.  This after 3 straight months of above average temperatures has made this one blissful fall.  Temperatures region wide were some 4 to 8 degrees above the typical November average with many days with highs in the 50’s and 60’s.  In fact, it took more than half the month until we see a sub average day, which were few and far between thereafter.   Despite the warmth, it was quite wet, but obviously most of the precipitation fell as rain versus the snow.  Even though we did officially record more than 5 inches for the month, we average over 9 AND managed more than 4 inches of total rainfall making it one of the top 10 wettest.  Check out where the month ranked in temps and precipitation in the images below.

One of the most telling figures about this November is how it compared to last years.  The National Weather Service tweeted the image below.

The difference between this November and last November is mind blowing… a 16 degree change from one to the next!

So just what if the month had been far colder, and all that rain we received, fell as snow?  In Minnesota, the snow is usually dryer which leads to higher ratios meaning that about a foot of snow equals 1 inch of rain.  This can vary drastically from storm to storm, but we can use that figure to give you a general idea.  That means that if all that rain fell as snow, we would be looking at 4 feet over the course of the month!  I would have liked that, but I’m sure for many of you, that would be something that happens in your nightmares.

So what does this mean for the weather ahead?  Well, no reason to doubt that our above average stretch of weather won’t continue, but just remember that what has happened in past months has nothing to do with what happens next.  For example, the last couple of years we have seen really warm Novembers, we have seen very cold Januarys and Februarys… just keep that in mind.


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